2010-08-11, 04:31 AM
So I went back through a lot of the big patches and compared them side by side with kms getting those same patches, in example:
(KMS got Aran on July 9th 2009, GMS got Aran December 9th 2009) July ~ December (4 months)
(KMS got Evan in November 2009, GMS got Evan in March 2010.) November ~ March (4months)
(KMS got Dual Blade February 25th 2010, GMS got Dual Blade July 21st 2010) February ~ July (5 months)
4 + 4 + 5 = (13) / 3 = 4.33-
Ok so, based on statistics ALONE! We can infer that *GMS receives major updates around 4 - 5 months after KMS. With an overall mean of 4.33 months*
We also need to take into consideration that, *Nexon only does major patches during summer and winter vacation the reason being kids our out from school, adults get some time off*
Now we can almost surely consider us not getting this major patch during summer, reason being *We got Dual Blade during our BIG summer patch leaving the winter months open for a big patch*
Ok, Big bang came in 3 parts for KMS:
*Part 1 - Map changes, new UI (user interface), many many new formulas including, but not limited to (EXP, ACC, Skill, Avoid, DMG), Damage cap was increased from 199,999 to 999,999 and increase of almost 500%!* ~ July 8th, 2010.
*Part 2 - Resistance based classes were added 2 those of which include (Battle Mage, and Wild Hunter)* ~ July 22nd, 2010.
*Part 3 - Yet another Resistance class added (Mechanic)* ~ August 12th, 2010
That would be a span of just about 1 month to get the entire Big Bang Patch out to the public. With a span of *Part 1 ~ Part 2 - 14 days, Part 2 ~ Part 3 - 20 days, Part 1 ~ Part 3 - 34 days.*
14 + 20 = (34) / 2 = 17 days on average between each part.
We need an idea of what 4.33 months actually looks like in days. More math!
[(30 * 2) + (31 * 2) + 10.5 (For 1/3 of a month approx.)] = 132.5 days or we can round and say 133 days.
Now we can take everything we have learned and put it into one big easy to read estimated release date.
Estimated Release dates:
*Part 1 ~ November 18th, 2010 (July 8th, 2010 ~ November 18th, 2010 is 133 days)*
*Part 2 ~ December 2nd, 2010 (July 22nd, 2010 ~ December 2nd, 2010 is 133 days)*
*Part 3 ~ December 22nd, 2010 (August 12th, 2010 ~ December 22nd, 2010 is 133 days)*
Full patch completion: December 22nd, 2010. (Going from November 18th, 2010 ~ December 22nd, 2010)
If it worked out correctly November 18th, 2010 should be exactly 34 days from December 22nd, 2010. Which it so happens to be!
*Note that these are all estimates and that I could have been wrong somewhere in my math do not go base all your opinions on the release date and such on solely this, Nexon could do something crazy and break the trend you never know I hope you enjoyed leave comments or questions if you have any!
*
Yours truly,
RyZoR
(KMS got Aran on July 9th 2009, GMS got Aran December 9th 2009) July ~ December (4 months)
(KMS got Evan in November 2009, GMS got Evan in March 2010.) November ~ March (4months)
(KMS got Dual Blade February 25th 2010, GMS got Dual Blade July 21st 2010) February ~ July (5 months)
4 + 4 + 5 = (13) / 3 = 4.33-
Ok so, based on statistics ALONE! We can infer that *GMS receives major updates around 4 - 5 months after KMS. With an overall mean of 4.33 months*
We also need to take into consideration that, *Nexon only does major patches during summer and winter vacation the reason being kids our out from school, adults get some time off*
Now we can almost surely consider us not getting this major patch during summer, reason being *We got Dual Blade during our BIG summer patch leaving the winter months open for a big patch*
Ok, Big bang came in 3 parts for KMS:
*Part 1 - Map changes, new UI (user interface), many many new formulas including, but not limited to (EXP, ACC, Skill, Avoid, DMG), Damage cap was increased from 199,999 to 999,999 and increase of almost 500%!* ~ July 8th, 2010.
*Part 2 - Resistance based classes were added 2 those of which include (Battle Mage, and Wild Hunter)* ~ July 22nd, 2010.
*Part 3 - Yet another Resistance class added (Mechanic)* ~ August 12th, 2010
That would be a span of just about 1 month to get the entire Big Bang Patch out to the public. With a span of *Part 1 ~ Part 2 - 14 days, Part 2 ~ Part 3 - 20 days, Part 1 ~ Part 3 - 34 days.*
14 + 20 = (34) / 2 = 17 days on average between each part.
We need an idea of what 4.33 months actually looks like in days. More math!
[(30 * 2) + (31 * 2) + 10.5 (For 1/3 of a month approx.)] = 132.5 days or we can round and say 133 days.
Now we can take everything we have learned and put it into one big easy to read estimated release date.
Estimated Release dates:
*Part 1 ~ November 18th, 2010 (July 8th, 2010 ~ November 18th, 2010 is 133 days)*
*Part 2 ~ December 2nd, 2010 (July 22nd, 2010 ~ December 2nd, 2010 is 133 days)*
*Part 3 ~ December 22nd, 2010 (August 12th, 2010 ~ December 22nd, 2010 is 133 days)*
Full patch completion: December 22nd, 2010. (Going from November 18th, 2010 ~ December 22nd, 2010)
If it worked out correctly November 18th, 2010 should be exactly 34 days from December 22nd, 2010. Which it so happens to be!

*Note that these are all estimates and that I could have been wrong somewhere in my math do not go base all your opinions on the release date and such on solely this, Nexon could do something crazy and break the trend you never know I hope you enjoyed leave comments or questions if you have any!
* Yours truly,
RyZoR

