2008-12-25, 12:42 PM (This post was last modified: 2008-12-30, 05:54 PM by Cyanne.)
Edit: Updated (again)
Big thanks to haha01haha for making the list. This year's sale was a lot harder to predict because of the erratic pattern at the end, so I'm not too sure for the sales on December 29th and later (this includes the AP reset sale).
Didn't feel like posting it on Sleepywood this time, though it'll probably get copypasted over there anyways =/
Cyanne Wrote:Big thanks to haha01haha for making the list. This year's sale was a lot harder to predict because of the erratic pattern at the end, so I'm not too sure for the sales on December 29th and later (this includes the AP reset sale).
Didn't feel like posting it on Sleepywood this time, though it'll probably get copypasted over there anyways =/
1. a few dates are wrong. no sale had only 1 thing. for example, Wednesday, December 24
9am-12pm
Seal Pillow - (2500 NX)
[etc..]
AP Reset (5) - (7700 NX)
1pm-2pm
Mushroom House Elf (14Days) - (3900 NX)
the ap resets were in 1pm-2pm.
2.there was a reason why i didnt post it here. fiel does not allow extractions from GMS to be posted here.
3. HOW THE HECK did you find the dates. i was looking for them for the whole day.
haha01haha01 Wrote:1. a few dates are wrong. no sale had only 1 thing. for example, Wednesday, December 24
9am-12pm
Seal Pillow - (2500 NX)
[etc..]
AP Reset (5) - (7700 NX)
1pm-2pm
Mushroom House Elf (14Days) - (3900 NX)
the ap resets were in 1pm-2pm.
2.there was a reason why i didnt post it here. fiel does not allow extractions from GMS to be posted here.
3. HOW THE HECK did you find the dates. i was looking for them for the whole day.
Really? I was just making a guess based on the fact that the 1st job SP resets were sold alone (that was the only sale I've seen so far). Oh well, that sale's already over... I guess we can wait until 2pm to see if Showa coupons get sold at that time.
This isn't really an extraction... I'm just organizing things from your peek at the data, but he can delete/lock this if he wants to.
The dates are on the official site O.o
jikos Wrote:so these are just predictions? based off of what?
The timeslots are predictions based on looking at patterns from Nexon's behavior from earlier sales, but the items and their prices should be correct since they come from the data.
haha01haha01 Wrote:no, i mean, how did you match the dates to the items? is it just guessing?
Patterns. I did the same thing with Fiel last year when he extracted the sale, and got 95% of the items correct. (forgot which, but only got two items wrong, thinking that normal clothes would be the following day)
Notice how near the end of each individual day is a hair/cosmetic coupon?
And the big items that are popular sellers (ap resets, sp resets, store permits, etc..) would be off on their own, if they come right after the cosmetics
Now for the 30th, since there are 2 items (ring and wedding chappel) right before a big seller (sp reset), the ring/chappel would go with the all-day sale
The only problems I see with Cyanne's list, is the 30th/31st
According to the patterns I see, the 30th should be
=1pm-2pm PST=
SP Reset (4th job) (5) - (6000 NX)
Gachapon Ticket (35) - (21000 NX)
and the 31st should be
=1pm-2pm PST=
2x EXP Card Type 4 - Everyday (10Days) - (4200 NX)
AP Reset (5) - (7700 NX)
Since nexon has already done a day where there were 2 items during their 1-hour sale, it isnt so uncommon to think they will do it again later on with more of their big items
ecwcwwe Wrote:Patterns. I did the same thing with Fiel last year when he extracted the sale, and got 95% of the items correct. (forgot which, but only got two items wrong, thinking that normal clothes would be the following day)
Notice how near the end of each individual day is a hair/cosmetic coupon?
And the big items that are popular sellers (ap resets, sp resets, store permits, etc..) would be off on their own, if they come right after the cosmetics
Now for the 30th, since there are 2 items (ring and wedding chappel) right before a big seller (sp reset), the ring/chappel would go with the all-day sale
The only problems I see with Cyanne's list, is the 30th/31st
According to the patterns I see, the 30th should be
=1pm-2pm PST=
SP Reset (4th job) (5) - (6000 NX)
Gachapon Ticket (35) - (21000 NX)
and the 31st should be
=1pm-2pm PST=
2x EXP Card Type 4 - Everyday (10Days) - (4200 NX)
AP Reset (5) - (7700 NX)
Since nexon has already done a day where there were 2 items during their 1-hour sale, it isnt so uncommon to think they will do it again later on with more of their big items
Oh, I see, I didn't see the sale where Nexon put more than 1 item during the second sale of a day. Thanks! They seem to cut off at hair coupons, but sometimes, clothing gets snipped off the first sale that way (I marked those with a question mark because I'm not sure), and December 29th kind of doesn't make sense. I made the changes you saw and a lot of other ones.
Yea, the dark/white suit should be on the normal hours sale. they're not really a big enough seller to be a part of the one-hour special. Same with the crush ring. Now the wedding chappel.... There is a chance that it could be a part of the one-hour sale, so yea, that one is uncertain
They did the same thing last year with their cut-offs (or thereabouts), where the end of the sale list would be the hair coupons.
