2012-01-31, 05:39 PM
Just a little thing about "Gambler's Fallacy":
Though the odds of success are not increasing by, let's say, 3 failed 60% scrolls in a row. The chance of having 4 fails in a row is just small. But indeed, this doesn't affect the chance of success rate of your next scroll if 3 scrolls failed in a row.
Also, the chance of something that -might- happen, is not a guarantee that something -will- happen.
Though the odds of success are not increasing by, let's say, 3 failed 60% scrolls in a row. The chance of having 4 fails in a row is just small. But indeed, this doesn't affect the chance of success rate of your next scroll if 3 scrolls failed in a row.
Also, the chance of something that -might- happen, is not a guarantee that something -will- happen.