2008-10-30, 12:15 PM
Devil's Sunrise Wrote:it's not 0.0008 ^ 70%/30%, it's 0.0008*0.7/0.3
You'll get a 0,00056 chance of missing another one, and 0,00024 chance of hitting.
Yeah I realized that after posting and edited it out. I fail at math.
I'm not arguing for bait scrolling or against it, I just tend to play the devil's advocate with a fair bit of glibness/grandiose sense of my own knowledge. (I was diagnosed with borderline Cyclothymia, currently somewhat manic)
Even with all the data now I'm still going to use valuable scrolls after failing other ones of the same %, because it's worked out for me in the past. (Not baiting, just scrolling something then scroll something of more value to me)