2008-10-28, 01:11 AM
"Prices will Stabalize" "Pirate Skillbooks will sell for a bunch" arent those pretty big assumptions? I mean, if you look at overall trend of dam near everything in FM, with the exception of iTCG items there is a general downward trend. Sure ilbis used to be 10 mil and are now 18 in khaini, but i remember last year they were 30. Skillbooks are the same. The more time HTers go, the higher supply. Since skillbooks fail, but skillbooks also work at least half, if not more of the time, the number demanded fluctuates between how many new bishops get to the level they'd need it at and how many have already passed it. Since bishops are a bandwagon class and a quick leveling class, the number of new bishops does increase, but not that dramatically compared to when 4th job first came out. Plus, many go to runs already if they are above 16x, thus getting free mastery books. So the general trend for the Gen 30 would be downward, even though there may be spikes in prices from time to time.
Meanwhile, pirate books wont likely be in high demand, since getting to 4th job takes a while, followed by adjusting you're build to NEED higher level skills. And even though they will be a bandwagon class, it wont be that bad in 4th job, because at least 2/3rds of the pirate population will give up. And at least half of those who remain arent the intense grinding types who will hit level 120 in a month or two. And even then, you have a skillbook that is rare, for a class that the number 20 spot will likely still be a third-jobber by that time. And thats across the servers in my opinion. So you'd have like 3 people on your server who would need it within a month. And thats for time leap mastery book? Im sorry, but quite frankly anyone WITH level 20 time leap is getting into HT runs for the extra Rez they allow.
tl;dr? Gen books will likely go down in price, even after event ends. And pirate skillbooks will likely not become higly sought after until 2 months later, when many pirates will be 4th job, and by then HT drops will even out market.
My opinion, get Gen 30 now, sell now, thank me later when you see prices drop.
Meanwhile, pirate books wont likely be in high demand, since getting to 4th job takes a while, followed by adjusting you're build to NEED higher level skills. And even though they will be a bandwagon class, it wont be that bad in 4th job, because at least 2/3rds of the pirate population will give up. And at least half of those who remain arent the intense grinding types who will hit level 120 in a month or two. And even then, you have a skillbook that is rare, for a class that the number 20 spot will likely still be a third-jobber by that time. And thats across the servers in my opinion. So you'd have like 3 people on your server who would need it within a month. And thats for time leap mastery book? Im sorry, but quite frankly anyone WITH level 20 time leap is getting into HT runs for the extra Rez they allow.
tl;dr? Gen books will likely go down in price, even after event ends. And pirate skillbooks will likely not become higly sought after until 2 months later, when many pirates will be 4th job, and by then HT drops will even out market.
My opinion, get Gen 30 now, sell now, thank me later when you see prices drop.