Scroll probability formula

Either ways, they return to the scroll's probability in the long run, but there's no way to predict the short term outcome accurately because you can't exactly control statistical "noise".

Statistical assumptions made are still valid, and for very good reasons. So I agree that scroll burning is just like gambler's fallacy, while mass scrolling for that e.g. 15dex earring is pretty reasonable but not always reliable because expectation =/= observed.

Hadriel