Thread Rating:
  • 0 Vote(s) - 0 Average
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
Scroll probability formula
#11
Cursed scrolls mislead - there's only a 19.69% chance of putting 10 on an item without it blowing up (.85^10). So the most common result (80.31%) should really be destroyed.


Once you eliminate that, you have .7/.85 = 82.35% success rates on the rest. So it's gonna be skewed closer to +10 on the ones that don't break. Or in other words, the more that fail - the higher the chance it breaks - so low numbers are unlikely to occur.

break80.3126%
+05.7e-7 %
+12.7e-5 %
+25.7e-4 %
+37.0e-3 %
+40.057%
+50.3216%
+61.2508%
+73.3353%
+85.8369%
+96.053%
+102.825%
Reply


Messages In This Thread
Scroll probability formula - by Kabanaw - 2010-03-24, 04:03 PM
Scroll probability formula - by Kortestanov - 2010-04-12, 02:12 PM
Scroll probability formula - by Kabanaw - 2010-04-12, 02:59 PM
Scroll probability formula - by Johnnywup - 2010-04-13, 01:15 AM
Scroll probability formula - by Sn1perJohnE - 2010-04-13, 02:00 AM
Scroll probability formula - by Fumni - 2011-02-05, 01:13 AM
Scroll probability formula - by Kabanaw - 2011-02-05, 01:16 AM
Scroll probability formula - by Fumni - 2011-02-05, 01:18 AM
Scroll probability formula - by Kabanaw - 2011-02-05, 01:21 AM
Scroll probability formula - by Fumni - 2011-02-05, 01:29 AM
Scroll probability formula - by Stereo - 2011-02-05, 02:06 AM
Scroll probability formula - by hadriel - 2011-02-05, 04:01 AM
Scroll probability formula - by Kaasoljoyyx - 2011-02-05, 04:39 AM
Scroll probability formula - by Fumni - 2011-02-05, 12:05 PM
Scroll probability formula - by Shidoshi - 2011-02-05, 12:08 PM
Scroll probability formula - by Kaasoljoyyx - 2011-02-05, 02:05 PM
Scroll probability formula - by vx-2 - 2011-02-06, 03:10 PM
Scroll probability formula - by Shidoshi - 2011-02-06, 03:14 PM
Scroll probability formula - by vx-2 - 2011-02-06, 03:28 PM
Scroll probability formula - by Shidoshi - 2011-02-06, 03:41 PM
Scroll probability formula - by Kaasoljoyyx - 2011-02-06, 04:48 PM
Scroll probability formula - by vx-2 - 2011-02-06, 08:03 PM
Scroll probability formula - by hadriel - 2011-02-07, 04:44 AM
Scroll probability formula - by Shidoshi - 2011-02-07, 08:05 AM
Scroll probability formula - by vx-2 - 2011-02-07, 11:26 AM
Scroll probability formula - by Shidoshi - 2011-02-07, 01:02 PM
Scroll probability formula - by StringStrider - 2011-02-08, 09:58 PM
Scroll probability formula - by Fumni - 2011-02-08, 10:39 PM
Scroll probability formula - by vx-2 - 2011-02-09, 12:50 AM
Scroll probability formula - by Kaasoljoyyx - 2011-02-09, 02:20 AM
Scroll probability formula - by Fumni - 2011-02-10, 12:23 AM
Scroll probability formula - by Kaasoljoyyx - 2011-02-10, 02:19 AM

Forum Jump:


Users browsing this thread: 1 Guest(s)