2010-08-29, 12:07 AM
xBTAx Wrote:Mephisto's technically right. If we assume that there's 3 mafia members per group like last game (which only had 1 more person), then there's a 6/17 chance of lynching a mafia member, compared to a 11/17 chance of lynching a villager. 6/17 is still relatively large though, since there's more than a 1/3 chance of killing a mafia member. Of course, once the mafia starts killing (assuming a mafia member isn't killed), the chances of lynching a mafia member when voting randomly will improve.
[COLOR="green"]I can see your point. Even so, since there's two mafia, less people alive means a higher chance the mafia could kill the other during the night.
So lynching, no matter who we killed, gives us better chances.[/COLOR]