2010-07-25, 06:13 AM
Moving towards the exact probability does only happen with infinite trials - in the short term, it only moves towards 50-50 as fast as the 10 heads becomes insignificant.
The 50-50 thing is a property of the coin that shouldn't (doesn't) depend on previous flips. Each time you flip it, it's equally likely to come up heads or tails, no matter what you've already seen. If this weren't true, then there's some sort of mechanism that communicates previous flips to future flips. And how would you explain that?
The 50-50 thing is a property of the coin that shouldn't (doesn't) depend on previous flips. Each time you flip it, it's equally likely to come up heads or tails, no matter what you've already seen. If this weren't true, then there's some sort of mechanism that communicates previous flips to future flips. And how would you explain that?