2010-07-25, 04:45 AM
http://changingminds.org/disciplines/arg...allacy.htm
It is still 50/50 no matter what happened earlier.
In fact if you have a coin come up heads that often I'd say it's slightly more likely that it's a biased coin, and will keep coming up heads. But if it's a fair coin then it's always 50-50.
HHHHHHHHHHT is no more a statistical anomaly than HHHHHHHHHHH, it just looks tidier as 11 heads in a row. Any specific sequence of 11 results is very unlikely to occur (1 in 2048, or 0.05%
, but in general if you flip a coin 11 times, you are going to hit one of the sequences.
It is still 50/50 no matter what happened earlier.
In fact if you have a coin come up heads that often I'd say it's slightly more likely that it's a biased coin, and will keep coming up heads. But if it's a fair coin then it's always 50-50.
HHHHHHHHHHT is no more a statistical anomaly than HHHHHHHHHHH, it just looks tidier as 11 heads in a row. Any specific sequence of 11 results is very unlikely to occur (1 in 2048, or 0.05%
, but in general if you flip a coin 11 times, you are going to hit one of the sequences.