eos367 Wrote:Simulation indicates these are attainable goals w/ approximately 60% chance to achieve all goals or an ~86% chance overall of accomplishing.
Spoiler
Simulation 1 - 5/6 goals met.
Label
Phase
High
Mid
Low
Cost
Goal Met
Str
Appraisal
1
3
21
2,500,000
TRUE
Dex
Appraisal
1
45
139
18,500,000
FALSE
Dex
Upgrading Lows
1
56
6
10,200,000
FALSE
Dex
Upgrading Mids
3
9
6
14,500,000
FALSE
Topaz
Appraisal
4
12
45
6,100,000
TRUE
Aquamarine
Appraisal
3
13
53
6,900,000
TRUE
Opal
Appraisal
2
7
20
2,900,000
TRUE
Total Cost
61,600,000
Simulation 2 - 4/6 Goals Met
Label
Phase
High
Mid
Low
Cost
Goal Met
Str
Appraisal
0
10
60
7,000,000
FALSE
Str
Upgrading Lows
0
14
7
5,100,000
FALSE
Str
Upgrading Mids
0
9
7
2,500,000
FALSE
Dex
Appraisal
2
45
138
18,500,000
FALSE
Dex
Upgrading Lows
2
56
1
11,400,000
FALSE
Dex
Upgrading Mids
4
30
1
800,000
TRUE
Topaz
Appraisal
4
15
107
12,600,000
TRUE
Aquamarine
Appraisal
3
21
66
9,000,000
TRUE
Total Cost
66,900,000
Simulation 3 - 5/6 Goals met - Price went over, marginally.
Label
Phase
High
Mid
Low
Cost
Goal Met
Str
Appraisal
0
6
64
7,000,000
FALSE
Str
Upgrading Lows
0
12
0
3,000,000
FALSE
Str
Upgrading Mids
1
2
0
100,000
TRUE
Dex
Appraisal
2
35
148
18,500,000
FALSE
Dex
Upgrading Lows
2
46
1
14,400,000
FALSE
Dex
Upgrading Mids
4
25
1
300,000
TRUE
Topaz
Appraisal
4
30
124
15,800,000
TRUE
Aquamarine
Appraisal
3
5
29
3,700,000
TRUE
Opal
Appraisal
2
13
64
7,900,000
TRUE
Total Cost
70,700,000
Simulation 4 - All goals met.
Label
Phase
High
Mid
Low
Cost
Goal Met
Str
Appraisal
1
13
25
3,900,000
TRUE
Dex
Appraisal
2
46
137
18,500,000
FALSE
Dex
Upgrading Lows
2
58
9
6,000,000
FALSE
Dex
Upgrading Mids
4
37
9
300,000
TRUE
Topaz
Appraisal
4
12
32
4,800,000
TRUE
Aquamarine
Appraisal
3
13
41
5,700,000
TRUE
Opal
Appraisal
2
6
13
2,100,000
TRUE
Total Cost
41,300,000
Simulation 5 - All goals met
Label
Phase
High
Mid
Low
Cost
Goal Met
Str
Appraisal
0
15
55
7,000,000
FALSE
Str
Upgrading Lows
0
20
3
2,100,000
FALSE
Str
Upgrading Mids
1
8
3
300,000
TRUE
Dex
Appraisal
2
50
133
18,500,000
FALSE
Dex
Upgrading Lows
2
60
8
10,500,000
FALSE
Dex
Upgrading Mids
4
34
8
800,000
TRUE
Topaz
Appraisal
4
25
88
11,700,000
TRUE
Aquamarine
Appraisal
3
18
45
6,600,000
TRUE
Opal
Appraisal
2
6
13
2,100,000
TRUE
Total Cost
59,600,000
Thank you kindly. I hope to increase these odds by the time I sell off my 3 above avg maple weaps that I found, but this is promising to me. If it isn't too much trouble, another question.
Would I be better off for the same goals if I was to remain at current meso value or if I was to purchase refined dex (seeing as that is the highest need for upgrading post appraisal) at a rate of 400k per crystal?
I intend to increase mesos regardless before the next patch, but I just thought that this could be a decent question for others who actually want to make stuff versus selling the gems as an example for the relative poor.