Administrator
Posts: 17,190
Threads: 2,153
Joined: 2008-09
Gender: Male
Sexual Orientation: Gay
IGN: Aesilyn
Server: Mardia
Level: 200
Job: I/L ArchMage
Guild: Animus
2009-05-25, 02:17 PM
(This post was last modified: 2009-05-25, 02:24 PM by Eos.)
LongShotJohn Wrote:Any chance you guys could do your formula things for me to see if I have enough to reach my dream ASAP?
Refined Str: 70 - Goal 1 High Grade
Refined Dex: 185 - Goal 4 High Grade
Refined Topaz: 200 - Goal 4 High Grade
Refined Aquamarine: 100 - Goal 1-3 High Grade
Potentially Opal: 100 - Goal 2 High Grade
With 70 Mil mesos, on average, can I attain these goals?
Simulation indicates these are attainable goals w/ approximately 60% chance to achieve all goals or an ~86% chance overall of accomplishing.
Spoiler
Simulation 1 - 5/6 goals met.
| Label | Phase | High | Mid | Low | Cost | Goal Met |
|---|
| Str | Appraisal | 1 | 3 | 21 | 2,500,000 | TRUE | | Dex | Appraisal | 1 | 45 | 139 | 18,500,000 | FALSE | | Dex | Upgrading Lows | 1 | 56 | 6 | 10,200,000 | FALSE | | Dex | Upgrading Mids | 3 | 9 | 6 | 14,500,000 | FALSE | | Topaz | Appraisal | 4 | 12 | 45 | 6,100,000 | TRUE | | Aquamarine | Appraisal | 3 | 13 | 53 | 6,900,000 | TRUE | | Opal | Appraisal | 2 | 7 | 20 | 2,900,000 | TRUE | | Total Cost | | | | | 61,600,000 |
Simulation 2 - 4/6 Goals Met
| Label | Phase | High | Mid | Low | Cost | Goal Met |
|---|
| Str | Appraisal | 0 | 10 | 60 | 7,000,000 | FALSE | | Str | Upgrading Lows | 0 | 14 | 7 | 5,100,000 | FALSE | | Str | Upgrading Mids | 0 | 9 | 7 | 2,500,000 | FALSE | | Dex | Appraisal | 2 | 45 | 138 | 18,500,000 | FALSE | | Dex | Upgrading Lows | 2 | 56 | 1 | 11,400,000 | FALSE | | Dex | Upgrading Mids | 4 | 30 | 1 | 800,000 | TRUE | | Topaz | Appraisal | 4 | 15 | 107 | 12,600,000 | TRUE | | Aquamarine | Appraisal | 3 | 21 | 66 | 9,000,000 | TRUE | | Total Cost | | | | | 66,900,000 |
Simulation 3 - 5/6 Goals met - Price went over, marginally.
| Label | Phase | High | Mid | Low | Cost | Goal Met |
|---|
| Str | Appraisal | 0 | 6 | 64 | 7,000,000 | FALSE | | Str | Upgrading Lows | 0 | 12 | 0 | 3,000,000 | FALSE | | Str | Upgrading Mids | 1 | 2 | 0 | 100,000 | TRUE | | Dex | Appraisal | 2 | 35 | 148 | 18,500,000 | FALSE | | Dex | Upgrading Lows | 2 | 46 | 1 | 14,400,000 | FALSE | | Dex | Upgrading Mids | 4 | 25 | 1 | 300,000 | TRUE | | Topaz | Appraisal | 4 | 30 | 124 | 15,800,000 | TRUE | | Aquamarine | Appraisal | 3 | 5 | 29 | 3,700,000 | TRUE | | Opal | Appraisal | 2 | 13 | 64 | 7,900,000 | TRUE | | Total Cost | | | | | 70,700,000 |
Simulation 4 - All goals met.
| Label | Phase | High | Mid | Low | Cost | Goal Met |
|---|
| Str | Appraisal | 1 | 13 | 25 | 3,900,000 | TRUE | | Dex | Appraisal | 2 | 46 | 137 | 18,500,000 | FALSE | | Dex | Upgrading Lows | 2 | 58 | 9 | 6,000,000 | FALSE | | Dex | Upgrading Mids | 4 | 37 | 9 | 300,000 | TRUE | | Topaz | Appraisal | 4 | 12 | 32 | 4,800,000 | TRUE | | Aquamarine | Appraisal | 3 | 13 | 41 | 5,700,000 | TRUE | | Opal | Appraisal | 2 | 6 | 13 | 2,100,000 | TRUE | | Total Cost | | | | | 41,300,000 |
Simulation 5 - All goals met
| Label | Phase | High | Mid | Low | Cost | Goal Met |
|---|
| Str | Appraisal | 0 | 15 | 55 | 7,000,000 | FALSE | | Str | Upgrading Lows | 0 | 20 | 3 | 2,100,000 | FALSE | | Str | Upgrading Mids | 1 | 8 | 3 | 300,000 | TRUE | | Dex | Appraisal | 2 | 50 | 133 | 18,500,000 | FALSE | | Dex | Upgrading Lows | 2 | 60 | 8 | 10,500,000 | FALSE | | Dex | Upgrading Mids | 4 | 34 | 8 | 800,000 | TRUE | | Topaz | Appraisal | 4 | 25 | 88 | 11,700,000 | TRUE | | Aquamarine | Appraisal | 3 | 18 | 45 | 6,600,000 | TRUE | | Opal | Appraisal | 2 | 6 | 13 | 2,100,000 | TRUE | | Total Cost | | | | | 59,600,000 |
It's not having what you want - It's wanting what you've got.
|