An undiscussed topic about Maker

Thank you for your input, Ohmer. Stay around - we'd love to hear what it's like in other versions.

Anyway, I've created a simulator in python to find the average amount of profit (sales - costs) considering my current situation.

I evaluated the following questions:
1. How much meso can be made by upgrading everything to HQ?
2. Upgrade MQ to HQ, but not LQ to MQ.
3. How much meso can be made by upgrading LQ to MQ, but not MQ to HQ?
4. How much meso can be made by doing no upgrades at all?

Here were my results:
1. Upgrade everything to HQ: 12.5b
2. Upgrade MQ to HQ, but not LQ to MQ: 13.5b
3. Upgrade LQ to MQ, but not MQ to HQ: 15.5b
4. No upgrades: 15.8b

There are several things to consider here:
1. It's probably harder to sell 1 WATK diamonds since people want the better quality 2 WATK ones. So that makes the upgrade more worthwhile since it will decrease the amount of time the item is stuck in inventory. This alone makes #3 the best option.
2. The amount of time invested into upgrading diamonds is large. Through my calculations, It will take me nearly 6 hours of constant appraising, and then I have to upgrade! So I have to manage my time wisely.

Here's the script I used: (Lemme know if I made any mistakes)

 Spoiler

Code:

COST_TO_APPRAISE = 100000
COST_TO_UP_MQ = 300000
COST_TO_UP_HQ = 500000

NUM_DIAMONDS = 4456

PROB_APPRAISE_LQ = 0.7
PROB_APPRAISE_MQ = 0.95
PROB_APPRAISE_HQ = 1

PROB_TO_UP_MQ_LQ = 0.4
PROB_TO_UP_MQ_MQ = 1

PROB_TO_UP_HQ_MQ = 0.7
PROB_TO_UP_HQ_HQ = 1

#Common variables used
HighQual = 0
MidQual = 0
LowQual = 0
cost = 0
profit = 0

#Possible sale prices
SALE_HQ = 40000000 #40m
SALE_MQ = 5000000 #5m
SALE_LQ = 500000 #500k

#Amount of passes through the guessing function
NUM_PASSES = 1000
import random

for x in range(NUM_PASSES):
    #Begin appraising all of the diamonds
    for i in range(NUM_DIAMONDS):
        cost += COST_TO_APPRAISE
        prob = random.random()
        if prob > PROB_APPRAISE_MQ:
            HighQual += 1
        elif prob > PROB_APPRAISE_LQ:
            MidQual += 1
        else:
            LowQual += 1

    #LQ --> MQ
    while LowQual >= 10:
        cost += COST_TO_UP_MQ
        prob = random.random()
        if prob > PROB_TO_UP_MQ_LQ:
            LowQual -= 10
            MidQual += 1
        else:
            LowQual -= 1

    #MQ --> HQ
    while MidQual >= 10:
        cost += COST_TO_UP_HQ
        prob = random.random()
        if prob > PROB_TO_UP_HQ_MQ:
            MidQual -= 10
            HighQual += 1
        else:
            MidQual -= 1

#Pretty printer to make big numbers easier to read
def Thousands(num):
    num = str(num)
    thousand = ''
    for i in range(len(num)):
        if i % 3 == 0 and i != 0:
            thousand = ',' + thousand
        thousand = num[-1-i] + thousand
    return thousand

#Calculate averages
HighQual /= NUM_PASSES
MidQual /= NUM_PASSES
LowQual /= NUM_PASSES
cost /= NUM_PASSES

#Calculate profit (sales - costs)
profit = HighQual * SALE_HQ
profit += (MidQual * SALE_MQ)
profit += (LowQual * SALE_LQ)
profit -= cost

#Output
print(HighQual, MidQual, LowQual, Thousands(cost))
print(Thousands(profit))