2008-07-18, 03:27 PM
You can't have more than 100% chance total. That just defies the laws of everything. For the record, here is my scrolling record (I may have a few that haven't been recorded but this is most of my scrolling record for the past 3 years):
10% - 26 total - 3 pass (11.54%), 23 fail (88.46%)
30% - 68 total - 17 pass (25.00%) 29 fail (42.65%) 22 break (32.35%)
60% - 83 total - 52 pass (62.65%) 31 fail (37.35%)
70% - 28 total - 21 pass (75.00%) 1 fail (3.57%) 6 break (21.43%)
100% - ALL PASSED HOLY CRAP
The expected numbers are:
10% - 10% pass 90% fail (duh)
30% - 30% pass 35% fail 35% break
60% - 60% pass 40% fail
70% - 70% pass 15% fail 15% break
Most of my numbers are pretty close to the expected numbers. The only things I would question are my abnormally high fail rate of 30%s and my abnormally low fail rate of my 70%s. It seems that every time a 70% fails, it breaks. All of these things can be attributed to random chance, though, and I really haven't used enough scrolls to make any wild claims. So in conclusion, I trust Nexon did not screw up their math and all scrolls work as they should. Yes, 30%s are dangerous to use. But they can be rewarding.
Harrisonized, your tallying is really messed up, sorry
23+ isn't a very specific number, it makes it look like you have more passes.
10% - 26 total - 3 pass (11.54%), 23 fail (88.46%)
30% - 68 total - 17 pass (25.00%) 29 fail (42.65%) 22 break (32.35%)
60% - 83 total - 52 pass (62.65%) 31 fail (37.35%)
70% - 28 total - 21 pass (75.00%) 1 fail (3.57%) 6 break (21.43%)
100% - ALL PASSED HOLY CRAP
The expected numbers are:
10% - 10% pass 90% fail (duh)
30% - 30% pass 35% fail 35% break
60% - 60% pass 40% fail
70% - 70% pass 15% fail 15% break
Most of my numbers are pretty close to the expected numbers. The only things I would question are my abnormally high fail rate of 30%s and my abnormally low fail rate of my 70%s. It seems that every time a 70% fails, it breaks. All of these things can be attributed to random chance, though, and I really haven't used enough scrolls to make any wild claims. So in conclusion, I trust Nexon did not screw up their math and all scrolls work as they should. Yes, 30%s are dangerous to use. But they can be rewarding.
Harrisonized, your tallying is really messed up, sorry
23+ isn't a very specific number, it makes it look like you have more passes.

