Harrisonized Wrote:I leave this open ended so that the participants can choose which scale works better for them.but now we don't know what the results mean?
harrisonized Wrote:Optimism bias is the bias in which favorable outcomes are perceived. The effect in this poll is the rejection of being below the average, which isn't true optimism bias.can you explain your reasoning for this "rejection of bad outcomes" rather than "preference for good outcomes"? finding it hard to grasp sorry!
forgot it is possible it is also self-selection bias, as pointed out above, ie "only the people who care will vote" - there is no reason why we can attribute it to either optimism bias or self-selection bias, or both, or neither. yay research
just a note in response to
harrisonized Wrote:Depressed people don't have more "accurate" views of the world, (as noted in one of the participants who believes that he is much BELOW the average).i quote wikipedia, but was also taught this during my psychology degree:
"Depressives tend to be more accurate, and less overconfident in their assessments of the probabilities of good and bad events occurring to others but they tend to overestimate the probability of bad events happening to them."
this has been taught in my psychology course for at least 5 years, but not sure where to find a reference, maybe a textbook rather than an article by now