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30% Scrolls-For better or worse?
#4
NoWaizMatt Wrote:When you add up all the %s, you get 200% in all. 70% chance of failing, and then another 50% chance of exploding. So if you have a 30% scroll, then there is a 120/200, or 3/5ths chance of you getting screwed. There is the same chance that it will just remove a slot, and a measly 1/3ths chance (roughly) that your scroll will do what you hoped it would. So if you really look at it, 30% scrolls aren't really the best option unless you have a lot of money to blow.

An example of the odds would be, say your scrolling a hat with 30% scrolls. Of three of the five scrolls, you will either fail and lose a slot, or the item will explode. With only 1.5 scrolls (not possible, but meh) you have a chance of success. Which means, unless you are super lucky, you are gonna explode your item, or end up with something horrible.

Umm...your math is weird...how did you get 200% in all? There's one scroll and if you use it, there's an 100% chance that one of the three options will happen...not 200% :f6:
30% chance of working. 70% chance of failing.
if it fails, [70%], then there's a 50% chance it breaks.
70% * 50% = 35% of breaking
So...30% work, 35% fail and break, 35% fail and not break.
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Messages In This Thread
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by NoWaizMatt - 2008-07-16, 04:18 PM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by Russt - 2008-07-16, 04:29 PM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by Riyuran - 2008-07-16, 04:36 PM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by DumbApples - 2008-07-16, 04:58 PM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by Hero - 2008-07-16, 05:02 PM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by NoWaizMatt - 2008-07-16, 05:08 PM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by DumbApples - 2008-07-16, 05:22 PM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by DumbApples - 2008-07-16, 05:30 PM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by Germ - 2008-07-16, 07:47 PM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by Bacon - 2008-07-16, 07:57 PM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by Retalion - 2008-07-16, 08:01 PM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by Holypie - 2008-07-16, 10:13 PM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by loddlaen - 2008-07-17, 04:01 AM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by WiseAlon32 - 2008-07-17, 05:58 AM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by Harrisonized - 2008-07-17, 05:55 PM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by Retalion - 2008-07-17, 06:41 PM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by srevwetv - 2008-07-17, 08:51 PM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by Chompy - 2008-07-17, 10:11 PM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by Harrisonized - 2008-07-17, 10:41 PM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by Retalion - 2008-07-17, 11:26 PM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by Harrisonized - 2008-07-18, 03:41 AM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by Taiketo - 2008-07-18, 05:44 AM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by LakeMyst - 2008-07-18, 03:27 PM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by Harrisonized - 2008-07-18, 04:20 PM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by LakeMyst - 2008-07-18, 10:57 PM
30% Scrolls-For better or worse? - by WillDaSnail - 2008-07-18, 11:27 PM

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