2009-03-19, 10:01 PM
Stereo Wrote:Well, no matter where you cut it off it's gonna leave a mystery of "who is next that's not on the list". I just think it's useless to predict more than 6 months in the future based on 2 weeks of exp gains.
btw could you list standard deviation or variance on their exp gain? (I assume you've got their exp once a day so 14 samples)
10 keeps it consistent however so there's no whining about x class/server getting to see more than y class/server. Anyhow, it's not like I'm forecasting staffing requirements here, telling them the next person is astronimically far out doesn't hurt anyone, it just demonstrates disparity.
Doing standard deviation or variance would be a nasty additional processing burden at this level of records, and wouldn't be meaningful to over 95% of Maplers even with an explanation of it. It'd be like trying to force-feed kurtosis to someone who just wants to know what 30/5 is.
It's not having what you want - It's wanting what you've got.