Poll: What is the better action to take?
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Switch doors
56.41%
22 56.41%
Stay with your selected door
10.26%
4 10.26%
It doesn't matter, they're both as likely to get me a chinchilla.
33.33%
13 33.33%
Total 39 vote(s) 100%
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Monty Hall problem - SP edition
#38
Kaasoljoyyx Wrote:Wrong. You are not given the option to select a door from 2 doors, you are given the option to switch to the remaining door.

With that logic, look at the other situation I posted

You have 100 doors and you have a 1% chance of being right. I add 100 more doors. Does that make the door you chose 0.5% now? No.

I looked at it this way, you have 2 choices. Stay or switch. Effectively, you are given the option to choose from the remaining doors.

So you have 3 doors. 2/3 chance of getting a Pineapple, 1/3 chance getting the Chin.

Now, minus a pineapple since he eliminated a door. So now you have two choices. Stay or switch. 2 choices, 2 doors.

If you choose to stay you have a 50% chance of getting the Chin and if you switch yo have 50% chance of getting the Chin. The last door was eliminated, it doesn't count any longer since you can't choose it.

With your other situation if you stay you have a 1% chance still if you switch then your chance will be .5%. A little different. Except if you knew where the first 100 doors were, one containing the Chin, you could effectively make yourself still have a 1% chance of winning. Only if you knew which the new doors were, of course.

Again, sorry if I am seeming disagreeable. I hope I am not as if you are talking with a brick wall.
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Messages In This Thread
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by sicnarf - 2009-03-12, 06:05 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Holypie - 2009-03-12, 06:06 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Pistolero831 - 2009-03-12, 06:14 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Derimed - 2009-03-12, 06:51 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Russt - 2009-03-14, 11:37 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Nikkey - 2009-03-15, 03:24 AM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Russt - 2009-03-15, 10:14 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Dusk - 2009-03-15, 11:06 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by JoeTang - 2009-03-15, 11:25 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by mrcowcow - 2009-03-15, 11:40 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by KajitiSouls - 2009-03-16, 12:06 AM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Hazzy - 2009-03-16, 12:14 AM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Cancambo - 2009-03-16, 01:52 AM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Heidi - 2009-03-16, 03:34 AM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Alloy - 2009-03-16, 09:54 AM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Russt - 2009-03-16, 08:30 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Cancambo - 2009-03-16, 09:02 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Kaasoljoyyx - 2009-03-16, 09:11 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Cancambo - 2009-03-16, 09:16 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Holypie - 2009-03-16, 09:37 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by mrcowcow - 2009-03-16, 11:45 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by mrcowcow - 2009-03-16, 11:52 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by mrcowcow - 2009-03-16, 11:52 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Kaasoljoyyx - 2009-03-17, 01:26 AM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by sicnarf - 2009-03-17, 01:48 AM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by GummyBear - 2009-03-17, 08:14 AM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Cancambo - 2009-03-17, 04:01 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by sicnarf - 2009-03-17, 04:25 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Cancambo - 2009-03-17, 05:32 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by y0y0y0y0shi0 - 2009-03-17, 06:33 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Alloy - 2009-03-17, 06:36 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by sicnarf - 2009-03-17, 06:50 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Alloy - 2009-03-17, 07:25 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Cancambo - 2009-03-17, 10:04 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Russt - 2009-03-17, 10:35 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Cancambo - 2009-03-17, 11:06 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Kaasoljoyyx - 2009-03-18, 01:06 AM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Cancambo - 2009-03-18, 02:48 AM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Tir - 2009-03-18, 04:31 AM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Kaasoljoyyx - 2009-03-18, 12:07 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Cancambo - 2009-03-18, 06:10 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Nikkey - 2009-03-18, 06:54 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Cancambo - 2009-03-18, 07:14 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Kaasoljoyyx - 2009-03-18, 09:44 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Cancambo - 2009-03-18, 09:56 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by AngelSL - 2009-03-20, 07:29 AM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Nikkey - 2009-03-20, 11:15 AM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Tir - 2009-03-20, 02:09 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by AngelSL - 2009-03-20, 10:45 PM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by Kaasoljoyyx - 2009-03-21, 01:30 AM
Monty Hall problem - SP edition - by NoJobNoRules - 2009-03-26, 01:11 AM

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