2009-03-17, 05:32 PM
sicnarf Wrote:Yes, but I'm not asking for the probability of that part. I'm asking it of the entire problem.
If you switch blindly, you're more likely to get a chinchilla, as shown above.
I guess, it just is confusing since at that instant after a door has been eliminated you have the same chance with just the 2 doors left. At the instant if you switch blindly it doesn't change your chances since there is no third door available to switch to. You are left with 2 doors and 2 decisions.
Sorry if I am sounding disagreeable.

