2009-02-23, 03:15 PM
FelixTM Wrote:There's still probability, even with scrolling. While each scroll may have a 60% chance of working, the chances of consecutive success continues to decrease (not the scroll itself). That's what probability tells us. I realize there is no "effective" way to scroll. It's all luck, but you don't have to ride on faith alone.
Jesus, I feel I'm wasting my time on this discussion.
Though for two 60% scrolls to work in a row the chance is 36%, which would be treating both scrolls as a single event, the chances of each one DO NOT AFFECT the other. In other words, the chance for the 100th 60% scroll to work after the 99 before it failed (example) is still 60%. It's like saying that because you flipped heads on a coin three times the next one has more chance to flip tails.