2014-11-19, 02:42 PM
OK. This particular phase of testing has ended, as the philosoquill pens are no longer dropping.
This is all the data we've accumulated:
(I am not counting the first few days, when we were changing gear constantly, as that might be too inconsistent).
Base rate: average = 49.6
Sapta: 45, 42, 49, 38; 53, 58, 41, 46, 47, 44, 56, 38, 57, 59;
ItascaIil NL: 48, 41, 47, 56, 50, 41, 54, 48, 56, 55
ItascaIil Lumi: 61, 54, 52, 55, 41, 63, 52, 47, 48, 58; 56, 53, 42, 51, 37, 46, 38, 40, 58, 62
Greed pendant: average = 50.4
Sapta: 55, 46, 52, 50, 57, 51, 58, 40, 52, 42; 54, 48, 66, 45, 39, 49, 53, 51;
Mutant Ribbon Pig familiar: average = 68.2 = 1.38x base
Sapta: 72, 75, 82, 67; 61, 58, 72, 70, 74, 54, 74, 60, 64, 72;
2 x 20% drop equips + Greed pendant: average = 60.4 = 1.22x base
tecul1: 61, 52, 61, 52, 76, 65, 60, 62, 55
8 x 20% drop equips + Greed pendant + 20% additional drop on Greed: average = 119 = 2.4x base
Straatlamp: 103, 134, 105, 136, 122, 116, 96, 120, 139
8 x 20% drop equips + Greed pendant + 20% additional drop on Greed + Wolf Underling familiar: average = 237.25 = 4.78x base
Straatlamp: 227, 244, 250, 241, 228, 233, 245, 230
Greed pendant + 20% additional drop on Greed + Wolf Underling familiar: average = 108.4 = 2.19x base
Straatlamp: 114, 104, 113, 113, 101, 105, 104, 99, 118, 113
Mutant Ribbon Pig familiar + Greed pendant: average = 66.68 = 1.34x base
Sapta: 63, 69, 63, 82, 70, 72, 74, 63, 57; 75, 79, 59, 50, 59, 64, 71, 75, 62, 60;
Greed Pendant + 2x drop USE coupon: average = 84.6 = 1.7x base
Sapta: 86, 84, 81, 76, 91, 88, 95, 78, 88, 79
Showdown: average = 59.88 = 1.2x base
ItascaIil NL: 78, 66, 59, 61, 50, 47, 65, 57, 56
Showdown + Greed: average = 59.1 = 1.19x base
ItascaIil NL: 69, 65, 68, 45, 70, 52, 60, 48, 47, 67
Conclusions:
- Greed Pendant does nothing. It might boost equipment drop rate as in MSEA.
- Equipment potential %drop lines are additive
- Familiar is multiplicative with equipment
- Mutant Ribbon Pig familiar probably boosts drop by less than the 60% previously assumed.
MapleStory's RNG sucks horribly. The base rate is the one we have the most data for, and should therefore be the most reliable. However, if we assume it is correct, then everything else - Equipment, Pig, Showdown, and even the 2x drop coupon - gives very low results compared to what it nominally should. If we assume the base is 44, most everything else falls into place.
There's also the slight possibility that the drop rate for this item was changed at some point.
As a result of this horrible RNG, we can't really conclude much else at this point. (RayGun, correct me if that's wrong).
Hopefully soon we will get another event with common drops that we can test with.
Thanks to everyone that participated!
This is all the data we've accumulated:
(I am not counting the first few days, when we were changing gear constantly, as that might be too inconsistent).
Base rate: average = 49.6
Sapta: 45, 42, 49, 38; 53, 58, 41, 46, 47, 44, 56, 38, 57, 59;
ItascaIil NL: 48, 41, 47, 56, 50, 41, 54, 48, 56, 55
ItascaIil Lumi: 61, 54, 52, 55, 41, 63, 52, 47, 48, 58; 56, 53, 42, 51, 37, 46, 38, 40, 58, 62
Greed pendant: average = 50.4
Sapta: 55, 46, 52, 50, 57, 51, 58, 40, 52, 42; 54, 48, 66, 45, 39, 49, 53, 51;
Mutant Ribbon Pig familiar: average = 68.2 = 1.38x base
Sapta: 72, 75, 82, 67; 61, 58, 72, 70, 74, 54, 74, 60, 64, 72;
2 x 20% drop equips + Greed pendant: average = 60.4 = 1.22x base
tecul1: 61, 52, 61, 52, 76, 65, 60, 62, 55
8 x 20% drop equips + Greed pendant + 20% additional drop on Greed: average = 119 = 2.4x base
Straatlamp: 103, 134, 105, 136, 122, 116, 96, 120, 139
8 x 20% drop equips + Greed pendant + 20% additional drop on Greed + Wolf Underling familiar: average = 237.25 = 4.78x base
Straatlamp: 227, 244, 250, 241, 228, 233, 245, 230
Greed pendant + 20% additional drop on Greed + Wolf Underling familiar: average = 108.4 = 2.19x base
Straatlamp: 114, 104, 113, 113, 101, 105, 104, 99, 118, 113
Mutant Ribbon Pig familiar + Greed pendant: average = 66.68 = 1.34x base
Sapta: 63, 69, 63, 82, 70, 72, 74, 63, 57; 75, 79, 59, 50, 59, 64, 71, 75, 62, 60;
Greed Pendant + 2x drop USE coupon: average = 84.6 = 1.7x base
Sapta: 86, 84, 81, 76, 91, 88, 95, 78, 88, 79
Showdown: average = 59.88 = 1.2x base
ItascaIil NL: 78, 66, 59, 61, 50, 47, 65, 57, 56
Showdown + Greed: average = 59.1 = 1.19x base
ItascaIil NL: 69, 65, 68, 45, 70, 52, 60, 48, 47, 67
Conclusions:
- Greed Pendant does nothing. It might boost equipment drop rate as in MSEA.
- Equipment potential %drop lines are additive
- Familiar is multiplicative with equipment
- Mutant Ribbon Pig familiar probably boosts drop by less than the 60% previously assumed.
MapleStory's RNG sucks horribly. The base rate is the one we have the most data for, and should therefore be the most reliable. However, if we assume it is correct, then everything else - Equipment, Pig, Showdown, and even the 2x drop coupon - gives very low results compared to what it nominally should. If we assume the base is 44, most everything else falls into place.
There's also the slight possibility that the drop rate for this item was changed at some point.
As a result of this horrible RNG, we can't really conclude much else at this point. (RayGun, correct me if that's wrong).
Hopefully soon we will get another event with common drops that we can test with.
Thanks to everyone that participated!

