2014-07-19, 02:48 PM
Do we believe the roleblocker is town or mafia?
Roleblockers targets: Holypie, Meta, Luv
If the roleblocker was town: Blocking Holypie was an accident, since death still occurred there was no need to come out and say anything. Blocking Meta was a calculated strategy, the restriction could lead to a possible mafia boss. Result: kill still occurred, so Meta couldnt be the killer. Night 3 we block Luv. There is no logic here, blocking anyone else would stop a kill, but blocking Luv would only stop the infection. Roleblocker is no longer acting in the interest of the town conclusion mafia.
If the roleblocker was mafia: Blocking Holypie was a lucky accident, in this scenario the mafia has no clue that Holypie was the doctor or would have died on night 2. Meta was blocked in fear of being the detective because of restriction. Meta claims to have not been stopped, but no power reveals a helpless townie. Night 3 mafia blocks Luv. Logic dictates Meow for the obvious choice, but possibly stopping Luv is a better choice to possible save VerrKol or implicate VerrKol conclusion mafia.
If the roleblocker and Meta are mafia: Night 1 is the same. Night 2 mafia decides to do nothing and plan far in advance under the assumption that Meta will be investigated. Night 2 is wasted and seems illogical on the part of the mafia, as detection would indicate Meta is townie because of godfather. Meta could defend themselves. Night 3 is mafia blocks Luv. Same logic as above conclusion mafia.
Using occam's razor, I can assume the roleblocker is mafia or not acting in the interest of the town.
Only in scenario 3 would Meta even be considered mafia, but there no logical reasoning to waste a roleblock that early in the game.
With all of this, logical conclusion is Meta is likely town, even if mafia, is not the killer and can be put off till later while we go after someone who has not been confirmed by the detective.
Help me out, again, do we believe the roleblocker is town or mafia?
Let me test something out [vote]VerrKol. I will remove it after mid-day and we see Kyr's power, but I have a theory or two that will probably be disproved in a little.
Roleblockers targets: Holypie, Meta, Luv
If the roleblocker was town: Blocking Holypie was an accident, since death still occurred there was no need to come out and say anything. Blocking Meta was a calculated strategy, the restriction could lead to a possible mafia boss. Result: kill still occurred, so Meta couldnt be the killer. Night 3 we block Luv. There is no logic here, blocking anyone else would stop a kill, but blocking Luv would only stop the infection. Roleblocker is no longer acting in the interest of the town conclusion mafia.
If the roleblocker was mafia: Blocking Holypie was a lucky accident, in this scenario the mafia has no clue that Holypie was the doctor or would have died on night 2. Meta was blocked in fear of being the detective because of restriction. Meta claims to have not been stopped, but no power reveals a helpless townie. Night 3 mafia blocks Luv. Logic dictates Meow for the obvious choice, but possibly stopping Luv is a better choice to possible save VerrKol or implicate VerrKol conclusion mafia.
If the roleblocker and Meta are mafia: Night 1 is the same. Night 2 mafia decides to do nothing and plan far in advance under the assumption that Meta will be investigated. Night 2 is wasted and seems illogical on the part of the mafia, as detection would indicate Meta is townie because of godfather. Meta could defend themselves. Night 3 is mafia blocks Luv. Same logic as above conclusion mafia.
Using occam's razor, I can assume the roleblocker is mafia or not acting in the interest of the town.
Only in scenario 3 would Meta even be considered mafia, but there no logical reasoning to waste a roleblock that early in the game.
With all of this, logical conclusion is Meta is likely town, even if mafia, is not the killer and can be put off till later while we go after someone who has not been confirmed by the detective.
Help me out, again, do we believe the roleblocker is town or mafia?
Let me test something out [vote]VerrKol. I will remove it after mid-day and we see Kyr's power, but I have a theory or two that will probably be disproved in a little.