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Record $14 trillion-plus debt weighs on Congress - Erebus - 2011-01-16

Yahoo Wrote:WASHINGTON – The United States just passed a dubious milestone: Government debt surged to an all-time high, topping $14 trillion — $45,300 for each and everyone in the country.

That means Congress soon will have to lift the legal debt limit to give the nearly maxed-out government an even higher credit limit or dramatically cut spending to stay within the current cap. Either way, a fight is ahead on Capitol Hill, inflamed by the passions of tea party activists and deficit hawks.

Already, both sides are blaming each other for an approaching economic train wreck as Washington wrestles over how to keep the government in business and avoid default on global financial obligations.

Bills increasing the debt limit are among the most unpopular to come before Congress, serving as pawns for decades in high-stakes bargaining games. Every time until now, the ending has been the same: We go to the brink before raising the ceiling.

All bets may be off, however, in this charged political environment, despite some signs the partisan rhetoric is softening after the Arizona shootings.

Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner says failure to increase borrowing authority would be "a catastrophe," perhaps rivaling the financial meltdown of 2008-2009.

Congressional Republicans, flexing muscle after November's victories, say the election results show that people are weary of big government and deficit spending, and that it's time to draw the line against more borrowing.

Defeating a new debt limit increase has become a priority for the tea party movement and other small-government conservatives.

So far, the new GOP majority has proved accommodating. Republicans are moving to make good on their promise to cut $100 billion from domestic spending this year. They adopted a rules change by House Speaker John Boehner that should make it easier to block a debt-limit increase.

The national debt is the accumulation of years of deficit spending going back to the days of George Washington. The debt usually advances in times of war and retreats in peace.

Remarkably, nearly half of today's national debt was run up in just the past six years. It soared from $7.6 trillion in January 2005 as President George W. Bush began his second term to $10.6 trillion the day Obama was inaugurated and to $14.02 trillion now. The period has seen two major wars and the deepest economic downturn since the 1930s.

With a $1.7 trillion deficit in budget year 2010 alone, and the government on track to spend $1.3 trillion more this year than it takes in, annual budget deficits are adding roughly $4 billion a day to the national debt. Put another way, the government is borrowing 41 cents for every dollar it spends.

In a letter to Congress, Geithner said the current statutory debt ceiling of $14.3 trillion, set just last year, may be reached by the end of March — and hit no later than May 16. He warned that holding it hostage to skirmishes over spending could lead the country to default on its obligations, "an event that has no precedent in American history."

Debt-level brinkmanship doesn't wear a party label.

Here's what then-Sen. Barack Obama said on the Senate floor in 2006: "The fact that we are here today to debate raising America's debt limit is a sign of leadership failure. It is a sign that the U.S. government can't pay its own bills. It is a sign that we now depend on ongoing financial assistance from foreign countries to finance the government's reckless fiscal policies."

It was a blast by the freshman lawmaker against a Bush request to raise the debt limit to $8.96 trillion.

Bush won on a 52-48 party-line vote. Not a single Senate Democrat voted to raise the limit, opposition that's now complicating White House efforts to rally bipartisan support for a higher ceiling.

Democrats have use doomsday rhetoric about a looming government shutdown and comparing the U.S. plight to financial crises in Greece and Portugal. It's all a bit of a stretch.

"We can't do as the Gingrich crowd did a few years ago, close the government," said Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., referring to government shutdowns in 1995 when Georgia Republican Newt Gingrich was House speaker.

But those shutdowns had nothing to do with the debt limit. They were caused by failure of Congress to appropriate funds to keep federal agencies running.

And there are many temporary ways around the debt limit.

Hitting it does not automatically mean a default on existing debt. It only stops the government from new borrowing, forcing it to rely on other ways to finance its activities.

In a 1995 debt-limit crisis, Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin borrowed $60 billion from federal pension funds to keep the government going. It wasn't popular, but it helped get the job done. A decade earlier, James Baker, President Ronald Reagan's treasury secretary, delayed payments to the Civil Service and Social Security trust funds and used other bookkeeping tricks to keep money in the federal till.

Baker and Rubin "found money in pockets no one knew existed before," said former congressional budget analyst Stanley Collender.

Collender, author of "Guide to the Federal Budget," cites a slew of other things the government can do to delay a crisis. They include leasing out government-owned properties, "the federal equivalent of renting out a room in your home," or slowing down payments to government contractors.

Now partner-director of Qorvis Communications, a Washington consulting firm, Collender said such stopgap measures buy the White House time to resist GOP pressure for concessions.

"My guess is they can go months after the debt ceiling is not raised and still be able to come up with the cash they need. But at some point, it will catch up," and raising the debt limit will become an imperative, he suggested.

Republican leaders seem to acknowledge as much, but first want to force big concessions. "Do I want to see this nation default? No. But I want to make sure we get substantial spending cuts and controls in exchange for raising the debt ceiling," said the chairman of the House Budget Committee, Rep. Paul Ryan, R-Wis.

Clearly, the tea party types in Congress will be given an up-and-down vote on raising the debt limit before any final deal is struck, even if the measure ultimately passes.

"At some point you run out of accounting gimmicks and resources. Eventually the government is going to have to start shutting down certain operations," said Mark Zandi, chief economist for Moody's Analytics.

"If we get into a heated, protracted debate over the debt ceiling, global investors are going to grow nervous, and start driving up interest rates. It will all become negatively self-re-enforcing," said Zandi. "No good will come of it."

The overall national debt rose above $14 trillion for the first time the last week in December. The part subject to the debt limit stood at $13.95 trillion on Friday and was expected to break above $14 trillion within days.

Source

How do you guys feel about this?
An unavoidable inevitability?
Possible Solutions?
Who's to blame?
etc...


Record $14 trillion-plus debt weighs on Congress - Link - 2011-01-16

Jesus... That's ridiculous. We owe so much ass to China now, it's not even funny. They're probably the only reason we're still functioning as half a country.


Record $14 trillion-plus debt weighs on Congress - Berzerk - 2011-01-16

Well, this sucks.


Record $14 trillion-plus debt weighs on Congress - Hazzy - 2011-01-16

ShiKage Wrote:Jesus... That's ridiculous. We owe so much ass to China now, it's not even funny. They're probably the only reason we're still functioning as half a country.

Between Japan and China, about 1.6 Trillion. Forgeiners own a total of 4 trillion in US Debt. About a third of the entire debt.

That means China owns about 6% of the National Debt.


Record $14 trillion-plus debt weighs on Congress - Anonymous Moose - 2011-01-16

Before Bush, the debt was about $5.7 trillion, and Clinton left us with a Surplus and we were able to begin paying off the debt. Then Bush comes along, promises to keep the surplus, and he leaves us with about a $10 trillion dollar debt. Now Obama is in office, and continued all of Bush's policies and now our debt is up to $14 trillion. Nearly tripling our debt in 12 years is terrible compared to our 200 year history as a nation.

If this debt and excessive printing of US dollars continues our standing as the world's reserve currency will be compromised (actually it is compromised now, Russia and China stopped using it already) and once our status is gone our economy is going to collapse.

Edit: Debt Clock http://www.usdebtclock.org/


Record $14 trillion-plus debt weighs on Congress - Hazzy - 2011-01-16

Quote:Here's what then-Sen. Barack Obama said on the Senate floor in 2006: "The fact that we are here today to debate raising America's debt limit is a sign of leadership failure. It is a sign that the U.S. government can't pay its own bills. It is a sign that we now depend on ongoing financial assistance from foreign countries to finance the government's reckless fiscal policies."

2006 was before the recession we are in now. Then was not a time to employ expansionary policies, but now is. That quote is as relevant to today as one from '95.


Record $14 trillion-plus debt weighs on Congress - Anonymous Moose - 2011-01-16

Hazzy Wrote:2006 was before the recession we are in now. Then was not a time to employ expansionary policies, but now is. That quote is as relevant to today as one from '95.

I love how people try to defend his hypocrisy. The situation is not different now except that we are deeper in the hole now than we where back then. The goverment over spent back then, and they are still over spending now. What needs to happen is that we need to stop all of Bush's policies that Obama is continuing and we need to cut the rampant government spending, because it is these policies that are perpetuating the issues and causing our debt to soar.

We also need to do some other things like End the Fed. They are just constantly printing money illegally and devaluing the dollar. We need to put the power to print money back where it belongs - in the open with congress.


Record $14 trillion-plus debt weighs on Congress - Hazzy - 2011-01-16

Anonymous Moose Wrote:I love how people try to defend his hypocrisy. The situation is not different now except that we are deeper in the hole now than we where back then. The goverment over spent back then, and they are still over spending now. What needs to happen is that we need to stop all of Bush's policies that Obama is continuing and we need to cut the rampant government spending, because it is these policies that are perpetuating the issues and causing our debt to soar.

4.7% unemployment in 2006. 9.4% now.

The economy was very different. After the recession, I'll be right next to you in demanding reductions in government spending and the deficit/debt. Until then, the government needs to employ expansionary policies.

Ultimately, what's worse? A lethargic / shrinking economy or a large debt? The effects of an extreme recession can be seen by looking at the world in the early 1930s, but what proof is there that a large debt will cause anything even close to that?


Record $14 trillion-plus debt weighs on Congress - Anonymous Moose - 2011-01-16

Hazzy Wrote:4.7% unemployment in 2006. 9.4% now.

The economy was very different. After the recession, I'll be right next to you in demanding reductions in government spending and the deficit/debt. Until then, the government needs to employ expansionary policies.

Ultimately, what's worse? A lethargic / shrinking economy or a large debt? The effects of an extreme recession can be seen by looking at the world in the early 1930s, but what proof is there that a large debt will cause anything even close to that?

The real unemployment numbers are higher because the government loves to exclude people from those numbers to skew the numbers. Probably around 20% now. And government expansion did not help then, and it wont help now. Its one of the reasons our economy is failing.

In terms of the economy, it is a result of issues like outsourcing and many government policies that are making it far more difficult for buinesses to work in our nation. To fix the economy, one step is to reduce the federal government's hold on our businesses. And no, I dont mean safety regulations and such (those to need to be removed slowly so that the states can enact their own policies, but that is a slitghtly different issue). I mean removing NAFTA, CAFTA, and other treaties and laws that are hurting American businesses.

And stop acting like the national debt and our economy are two different issues, because our debt does affect our economy. It is one of the factors affecting the value of the dollar, and as this debt grows, the value of the dollar decreases. Eventually our dollar is going to be so worthless that it will lose it's status as the world's reserve currency. Once this happens, demand for the dollar will sharply fall, it will become far more worthless and life in America will become far higher. Some countries like Russia and China stopped accepting the dollar as the reserve currency already. Its only a matter of time before other countries follow.
Also, this event has happened before in Brittian. The Sterling was the reserve currency, and when it lost that status the country fell into a depression far worse than the one we are in now. It will be worse than the great depression. history proves it.

Just as an added note, one of the main causes of this depression is that the government repealed the Glass Steagall Act, allowing Banks to perform the same actions that caused the Great Depression (the GSA was enacted to prevent the same circumstances that created the Great Depression). It wasnt just giving out loans to those that coulding pay the loans. It was mostly the fact that the banks decided to gamble behind the scenes. The worst part is that when these banks lost all their money to their irresponsible and formerly illegal behaviour, we bailed them out. They caused the collapse, and we bailed them out... such a double wammy.


Record $14 trillion-plus debt weighs on Congress - Jedward - 2011-01-16

I'm a bit more glad that I live in Canada.


Record $14 trillion-plus debt weighs on Congress - Mute - 2011-01-16

Anonymous Moose Wrote:The real unemployment numbers are higher because the government loves to exclude people from those numbers to skew the numbers. Probably around 20% now. And government expansion did not help then, and it wont help now. Its one of the reasons our economy is failing.

IIRC after being on unemployment for 6 or so months you're no longer counted as you're viewed as "incapable and uninterested in working."


Record $14 trillion-plus debt weighs on Congress - Anonymous Moose - 2011-01-17

Mute Wrote:IIRC after being on unemployment for 6 or so months you're no longer counted as you're viewed as "incapable and uninterested in working."

Discouraged worker right? I forget the current time span required to become one, but I do know that it is a great exclution to use when you are hiding major issues in the economy.
One problem I have with the term is that they mix in people that have given up on employment with people who are continuing to search. They should at least leave the active searchers in the unemployment crowd, rather than group them with dissimilar people and pull them out of the official statistics.

And because it's a good idea to have them, a source:
http://www.dailyfinance.com/story/careers/what-is-the-real-unemployment-rate/19556146/
http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:A_5UpInyvL8J:articles.moneycentral.msn.com/learn-how-to-invest/The-real-unemployment-rate.aspx+real+unemployment+rate&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=us (the original page no longer exists)


Record $14 trillion-plus debt weighs on Congress - Hazzy - 2011-01-17

You are counted in unemployment numbers if you have held or looked for a job in the past 6 months, but do not hold one now.

As for the rest of your argument, I'll have to take it up with my econ teacher. Interesting points.


Record $14 trillion-plus debt weighs on Congress - Kurtle - 2011-01-17

And we wanted public healthcare...


Record $14 trillion-plus debt weighs on Congress - Jamie_Kurosawa - 2011-01-17

Free isn't free... it's just added to the National Debt and outsourced to some other country.

Well think about it... we had an extreme leftist congress with an extreme leftist president from 2009 till 2011 who wanted to tax as much as they could and spend everything and more... you add it up.

All these useless government programs, pay off, bail outs, and such garbage are what cause us to have these deficit levels.

I kinda wish they hadn't bailed out any of those companies now. Maybe letting the old companies that were going under, die, they could have let some new companies come in, grow up, and turn a profit that could have done better... oh but we had to bail out GM so they could give their corporate heads massive bonuses and pay off their retirees. Yeah the bail outs worked just about as well as a screen door attached to a submarine to help keep the water out.


Record $14 trillion-plus debt weighs on Congress - Mute - 2011-01-17

Jamie_Kurosawa Wrote:Free isn't free... it's just added to the National Debt and outsourced to some other country.

Well think about it... we had an extreme leftist congress with an extreme leftist president from 2009 till 2011 who wanted to tax as much as they could and spend everything and more... you add it up.

All these useless government programs, pay off, bail outs, and such garbage are what cause us to have these deficit levels.

I kinda wish they hadn't bailed out any of those companies now. Maybe letting the old companies that were going under, die, they could have let some new companies come in, grow up, and turn a profit that could have done better... oh but we had to bail out GM so they could give their corporate heads massive bonuses and pay off their retirees. Yeah the bail outs worked just about as well as a screen door attached to a submarine to help keep the water out.

Ask yourself, who would be able to buy out those companies if not the american government, given how much we owe to other nations?


Record $14 trillion-plus debt weighs on Congress - Anonymous Moose - 2011-01-17

Jamie_Kurosawa Wrote:Free isn't free... it's just added to the National Debt and outsourced to some other country.

Well think about it... we had an extreme leftist congress with an extreme leftist president from 2009 till 2011 who wanted to tax as much as they could and spend everything and more... you add it up.

All these useless government programs, pay off, bail outs, and such garbage are what cause us to have these deficit levels.

I kinda wish they hadn't bailed out any of those companies now. Maybe letting the old companies that were going under, die, they could have let some new companies come in, grow up, and turn a profit that could have done better... oh but we had to bail out GM so they could give their corporate heads massive bonuses and pay off their retirees. Yeah the bail outs worked just about as well as a screen door attached to a submarine to help keep the water out.

Just to point it out, our debt nearly doubled thanks to the government under the Bush administration. Obama is just continuing the same policies and expanding upon them. People need to stop blaming either the right or the left. They are both hands of the same body.

Aside from that, yes we need to cut spending, and yes we need to stop bailing out companies, especially those that caused our current recession/depression in the first place.


Record $14 trillion-plus debt weighs on Congress - Jamie_Kurosawa - 2011-01-17

I seriously think they should just start saying NO to companies wanting bail outs and money for their own stupidity. Plus, they also need to stop funding these fly by night groups like Acorn and other Non-Profit Organizations that rely on government money for their stuff. They also need to shut down these environmental watchdog groups that want millions of dollars in environmental impact studies when someone wants to build anywhere, open a business, etc.

The problem is everything is this... we've gotten too thin skinned over political issues, we don't know how to say NO any more to these groups who claim to have our best interest in mind but really only want to line their own pockets, and stop just shoveling money out of the federal reserve.


Record $14 trillion-plus debt weighs on Congress - Erich - 2011-01-17

We need to stop investing in China. This debt wouldn't be this high if companies wouldn't stop outsourcing work to foreign countries to avoid taxes. Needs to be laws about this stuff. Like, if you have x amount of products coming from a foreign country you aren't classified as a U.S. business anymore. Just something to stop this.


Record $14 trillion-plus debt weighs on Congress - Jamie_Kurosawa - 2011-01-17

They need to give tax breaks to companies that choose to have a work force in America, pay a % over the minimum wage, buy and sell to the local economy, and provide benefits to those employee (even if minimal only medical and dental). IF they did this not only would it increase salaries and wages, but it would spark more interest in wanting companies to move back to America as well. They also need to increase taxes on companies using international manufacturing, international workforces that do not contribute to the local economy excluding imported goods, and companies that choose to stay at the minimum wage and a certain % over it.

As far as retirees go... 401Ks need to be privatizes to a point. Companies could invest not only their workers 401Ks in Mutual Funds but in the company's own stock shares as well. Seriously, this is not only financially responsible but a moral booster as well. Honestly, if you were given a stock option in the company would you feel better about working there?

And lastly, they need to disband unions. This isn't the early 20th century anymore where workers aren't protected by local, state, and federal laws. Unions now are more or less an excuse of what they were originally supposed to do which was protect worker's right. Now by comparison, they serve only to bleed companies dry and force them to pay wages that are not only unnecessarily high, but also pay for people who have already retired from the company as well. You think I'm wrong, look at GM's situation with the UAW and the retiree's GM is forced to support.